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SDA Atlas

What is coming

6,544 new build dwellings are registered with the NDIA and not yet enrolled. 80% of them are High Physical Support or Robust — the two categories where supply already runs furthest ahead of assessed need.

This is not a construction figure

The NDIA does not publish a construction status for SDA. What it publishes is a count of new build dwellings that providers have registered but which are not yet enrolled — the table calls them unfinished (unenrolled). A dwelling can sit in that count without a brick being laid, and the NDIA gives no guarantee that all of them will ever be enrolled as SDA.

Read it as a statement of intent by the market, not as housing that is on its way. It is reported here because the mix of what providers intend to build is the clearest available signal of where the stock is heading.

Dwellings in the pipeline

6,544

Share High Physical Support or Robust

80% est

Pipeline as a share of enrolled stock

46% est

By design category

Supplement P Table P.8

  • High Physical Support 4,060 62%
  • Robust 1,158 18%
  • Improved Liveability 689 11%
  • Multi-Design Category 390 6%
  • Fully Accessible 247 4%

Compare with assessed need: Improved Liveability and Fully Accessible together account for 54% of participants with an SDA need, but only 14% of the pipeline.

By state and territory

Supplement P Table P.8

  • VIC 2,248 34%
  • NSW 1,397 21%
  • QLD 1,030 16%
  • SA 879 13%
  • WA 657 10%
  • TAS 149 2%
  • NT 119 2%
  • ACT 65 1%

Where it is concentrated

SA4 regions by pipeline volume.

  • Melbourne - West VIC · 775 already enrolled 505
  • Melbourne - South East VIC · 585 already enrolled 346
  • Adelaide - North SA · 700 already enrolled 317
  • Adelaide - South SA · 465 already enrolled 202
  • Perth - South East WA · 375 already enrolled 179
  • Sydney - Parramatta NSW · 341 already enrolled 176
  • Melbourne - North East VIC · 409 already enrolled 175
  • Melbourne - Inner VIC · 307 already enrolled 152
  • Geelong VIC · 311 already enrolled 150
  • Sydney - Blacktown NSW · 210 already enrolled 145
  • Melbourne - Inner South VIC · 239 already enrolled 144
  • Perth - South West WA · 279 already enrolled 139
  • Adelaide - West SA · 271 already enrolled 124
  • Sydney - South West NSW · 208 already enrolled 122
  • Sydney - Outer West and Blue Mountains NSW · 323 already enrolled 110
  • Ballarat VIC · 284 already enrolled 107
  • Melbourne - Outer East VIC · 211 already enrolled 107
  • Perth - North West WA · 202 already enrolled 107
  • Gold Coast QLD · 297 already enrolled 101
  • Darwin NT · 121 already enrolled 100

Biggest proportional increases

Pipeline as a share of dwellings already enrolled. These are the regions where the stock would change most if everything registered were built and enrolled. Regions with at least 100 enrolled dwellings.

  • Darwin NT · 100 in pipeline vs 121 enrolled 82.6%
  • Illawarra NSW · 82 in pipeline vs 118 enrolled 69.5%
  • Sydney - Blacktown NSW · 145 in pipeline vs 210 enrolled 69.0%
  • Melbourne - West VIC · 505 in pipeline vs 775 enrolled 65.2%
  • Brisbane - North QLD · 74 in pipeline vs 115 enrolled 64.3%
  • Melbourne - Inner South VIC · 144 in pipeline vs 239 enrolled 60.3%
  • Melbourne - South East VIC · 346 in pipeline vs 585 enrolled 59.1%
  • Sydney - South West NSW · 122 in pipeline vs 208 enrolled 58.7%
  • Melbourne - Inner East VIC · 85 in pipeline vs 149 enrolled 57.0%
  • Sydney - Outer South West NSW · 71 in pipeline vs 125 enrolled 56.8%
  • South Australia - South East SA · 89 in pipeline vs 157 enrolled 56.7%
  • Mornington Peninsula VIC · 95 in pipeline vs 170 enrolled 55.9%